By Eamonn Fingleton
(c) 1995,
Eamonn Fingleton
This is an excerpt from
Blindside as published in Fortune on March 20, 1995.
No aspect of Japan's remarkable
economy has been so consistently underestimated as its employment system.
Because the system's three main principles--lifetime employment, company unions,
and seniority pay--flout free-market ideals, Westerners consider it
self-evidently incapable in the long run of withstanding global competition from
the "more efficient" hire-and-fire labor system of the U.S. and Europe. Thus,
every time Japan 's economy slows down, influential foreign observers can be
counted on to write the system's obituary. Such reports reached a peak during
the recession of the early 1990s, when Western publications, led by the Wall
Street Journal and the Economist, vied with one another in
printing comments from anonymous sources suggesting that lifetime employment was
doomed.
The truth is precisely the opposite. Lifetime employment makes
more sense now than ever, and the system's continuing strength is a key reason
why Japan, with an unemployment rate of just 3% at its peak during the last
recession, has been the one major industrial country to buck the global trend of
ever-rising rates of structural unemployment.
Why have Western observers constantly been blind-sided on this
point? In part, because they misunderstand a not-quite-what-it-seems system that
contains several hidden elements of flexibility, as we shall see later. More
important, though, is the widely held and mistaken belief that lifetime
employment is deeply rooted in Japanese culture. This is pure myth. In fact, in
the early days of Japan 's industrialization, employers generally operated by
hire-and-fire rules, and as a result suffered many of the same labor problems
that we think of as peculiarly Western.
Although absenteeism is virtually unknown in Japan today, a
century ago it was so common after payday that employers paid different workers
on different days to stagger the disruption of output. In the 1920s, Japan
suffered a series of bitter strikes in steel, shipbuilding, and mining, and
labor turnover in some industries was as high as 100% a year. As recently as the
late 1940s Japanese labor relations were notable for widespread confrontation,
chaos, even violence.
The employment system in its present form has existed only since
World War II. It was consciously invented as Japan 's answer to a Western labor
regime that Japanese business leaders and bureaucrats concluded was
inappropriate for an advanced economy. One vital element was the formation of
informal employment cartels in many industries. These restrict competition for
labor by requiring rival employers to refrain from hiring from each other. This
practice immediately explains one of the most puzzling aspects of the
present-day system, Japanese workers' apparent lack of interest in changing
jobs. The key reason is not loyalty, as Westerners often imagine, but lack of
opportunities.
Via the Employment Security Law of 1947, government officials also
won case-by-case powers to block employers from advertising for labor and from
hiring any worker whose job change required a change of residence. While these
comprehensive curbs strengthened the hand of employers in resisting demands for
wage increases, they were balanced by a regulation making it illegal for
employers to fire workers. Here stands revealed the reason why Japanese
employers persistently refuse to break with the lifetime employment system: they
provide job security not because they want to but because they have to.
Despite such legal coercion, however, Japan 's employment system
offers a host of advantages, many of which are not widely recognized in the
West, and only one clear disadvantage--the fact that employers cannot cut labor
costs as fast as their Western counterparts when demand turns down.
Consider Japanese corporations' well-deserved reputation for the
speed with which they introduce productivity-enhancing new technologies. A big
reason is that since Japanese workers enjoy lifetime job guarantees, they see no
downside risk in helping employers improve productivity. In fact, they embrace
new technology because they know it will enhance their company's future and
their own jobs.
One notable example: automation. Japanese workers are delighted
for robots to take over dirty, dangerous, and repetitive jobs such as pressing
and painting. These machines are often treated as part of the corporate family,
to the point where they are named after favorite female singers and movie stars.
By contrast, American workers are naturally suspicious of such new labor-saving
technology because they know from experience that U.S. employers often use it to
cut jobs. It is not surprising, then, that with only half America's work force,
Japan has three times as many robots in operation.
If a corporation is to innovate, it must also train its workers to
handle ever more sophisticated tasks. Here again the Japanese labor system
provides a vital advantage because companies can undertake expensive training
programs confident that their enterprise will reap the rewards. By contrast,
American employers increasingly consider training a dubious investment, since in
the U.S. system trained workers are free to take their skills to rival
employers. A recent survey found that U.S. corporations are only one-seventh as
likely as their Japanese counterparts to provide new recruits with formal
training.
Another major strength of Japan 's labor system is the way it
encourages corporations to invest in research and development. The key factor
here is that thanks to the no-poaching rule, Japanese companies know that their
expensively acquired R&D secrets will not leak to competitors via the job
market. Such losses are a major problem for American corporations, particularly
in the case of innovative new production techniques that are hard to patent but
easy for a rival employer to acquire by headhunting a key employee. And since
Japanese corporations can expect to keep more of the rewards from R&D than
their American competitors, they naturally do more of it. As of the early 1990s,
Japan 's commercial R&D spending was running at about 3% of GDP, vs. just
2.2% for the U.S.
Now consider the high quality of Japanese management, which is
rightly considered a major source of Japan 's success. Why are Japanese managers
so good? The answer lies mainly in the long-term accountability built into the
lifetime employment system. A Japanese executive knows that the decisions he
makes today will remain permanently on his record, and he may be asked to
account for them many years from now. He cannot simply sweep problems under the
carpet.
Japan 's employment system also reinforces the labor peace that
has generally prevailed in that country in the postwar era, despite the bizarre
(at least to Westerners) ritual of the annual wage negotiation. Each year, in
many Japanese industries, demonstrating workers fill the sky with red Marxist
banners. Labor leaders use language so fiery they would risk arrest in many
countries. Sometimes a mob of slogan-chanting workers will corner a top
executive in his office and hold him hostage for hours.
If management still has not gotten the message, a union will have
no hesitation in resorting to the ultimate weapon--the strike. But at this point
things take a distinctly Japanese turn. A Japanese union's idea of a strike is a
one-hour work stoppage timed for the lunch break: workers indignantly put down
their tools at noon and don't report back for work until one! If the union has
planned things right, the "strike" will not have cost the company a single unit
of lost production.
Underneath this theater of the absurd lies a great deal of
uncommon common sense. Because the Japanese corporate system has been
deliberately arranged to align workers' interests with their employers', a
striking Japanese employee generally feels he's striking against his own
long-term future. He knows the company will be left weakened and may not have
the capital to stay the course in the technology race, which in turn means lower
pay raises and less in the kitty for retirement benefits.
What has helped reinforce Japan 's latter-day labor peace is that
by the late 1950s workers began to recognize that the old them-and-us divide
between management and workers had truly begun to disappear. Because workers had
been given lifetime job security, they, more than shareholders, had become the
real beneficiaries from an enterprise's existence. Indeed, that stock enemy of
American labor, the grasping chief executive officer who is "incentivized" by
huge stock options, is unknown in Japan . Top Japanese executives are generally
salaried employees like everyone else and do not have stock options--a fact that
probably reflects an informal prohibition imposed by the Finance Ministry. Thus,
they are under no pressure to make penny-wise, pound-foolish cuts in staffing to
manipulate short-term profits. And when they call for pay restraint from the
work force, as they do in bad times, they act in the role of the workers'
leaders, not the workers' opponents.
Top executives in Japan are also modestly compensated by
international standards. On an after-tax basis, a typical Japanese CEO is paid
only about ten times the earnings of the most junior staff member and just four
times the salary of middle-aged workers. The norm in corporate America is close
to 100 times, a gap that Fujitsu Chairman Takuma Yamamoto has characterized as
"absurd."
It is sometimes assumed that Japan 's low executive compensation
is simply a manifestation of the strong egalitarianism that runs through East
Asian culture. In fact, this policy of keeping a tight lid on top salaries is
the linchpin of a highly systematized salary structure in which managers and
workers are generally paid and promoted according to seniority rather than
competence. In the Japanese promotion race, merit becomes a decisive factor only
in the case of senior positions that become available toward the middle or end
of a manager's career.
This systemization extends beyond individual corporations. Major
companies in the same industry typically pay nearly identical salary scales. In
the auto industry, for example, the starting salary for graduates recruited in
1993 was $1,700 a month at all five of the biggest companies--Toyota, Honda,
Nissan, Mitsubishi, and Mazda. Every Japanese corporation discloses its starting
pay rate in public financial reference books, providing a useful signaling
system for young graduates as they size up prospective employers.
All this saves Japanese companies the enormous transaction-cost
burden of setting salaries on a person-by-person basis. And given the
no-poaching rule of Japanese cartels, Japan 's egalitarian salary system is easy
to maintain.
The primary rationale of the salary system is to foster teamwork
among managers and to eliminate a possible source of friction and jealousy
between close colleagues. The system also makes it easy for top management to
win workers' cooperation for postings in different departments, a factor that
explains not only the speed with which Japanese companies can restructure
themselves in a crisis but also the generally high level of communication and
cooperation that exists between different departments.
Promotion by seniority rather than competence is to Western eyes
one of the strangest aspects of the Japanese employment system. But it has its
advantages. One is that it provides a powerful force for cooperation between the
generations. Although Westerners argue that competent young people are blocked
from realizing their potential in such a system, the truth is generally the
opposite. Because senior managers are fully protected against being leapfrogged
in the promotion race, they are much more likely than senior managers in the
West to mentor their staff.
Perhaps the biggest misconception about Japanese labor economics
in the West is that it gives workers a free ride for life. Nothing could be
further from the truth. Since seniority pay is, in effect, a form of deferred
pay, one of the most persuasive disciplinary tools in the Japanese system is
early retirement. Generally, the poorer a person's long-run performance has
been, the more likely he is to be asked to take retirement in his 50s or perhaps
even in his late 40s. This is a much feared penalty because it means that he
misses out on the best earning years of his life.
Officially, early retirees leave voluntarily, but in reality, most
do so under threat of coercion. They know that if they resist, their employer
has ways of making things uncomfortable. But if they go quietly, they can expect
to get a significant termination payment and, more important, vital help in
establishing a second career elsewhere. In most cases, large corporations find
jobs for their early retirees in closely associated, if less prestigious,
companies.
Peer pressure also serves to enforce labor discipline. Workers in
a Japanese corporation generally function as part of a clearly identified team,
and assignments are given to the team rather than to individuals. Persistent
offenders of the team ethic risk ostracism by their peers. This pressure helps
explain the apparently irrational behavior of Japanese workers in, say, not
claiming their vacation entitlements: an individual worker feels obligated not
to claim his rights if this would impair the group's chance of gaining a large
salary bonus.
For the worst cases, companies find ways to harass a habitual
shirker into resigning. Typically offenders are assigned to the mado giwa
zoku--the tribe by the window. This denotes a special dunce's corner in
which Japanese companies place certified pariahs. The term's significance
derives from the fact that in Japan 's huge open-plan offices, the further away
one is from the center of the floor, the less important one's position or
section.
The Japanese labor system contains several other hidden checks and
balances without which it would not be an effective tool for employers.
Corporate Japan 's system of paying large twice-yearly salary bonuses, for
instance, is an important shock absorber. In bad times these can be cut or even
eliminated, allowing corporations to reduce annual pay levels by as much as
40%.
Another hidden element of flexibility: if a company can convince
the authorities that without layoffs its whole future will be jeopardized, it
can usually gain exemption from the no-layoff law. Ordinarily this loophole is
available only to small employers, which means that companies lower down in the
keiretsu system operate with employment practices closer to
American-style hire-and-fire. Thus, big employers at the top of the
keiretsu can count on their suppliers' labor flexibility as a swing
factor in maintaining their group's viability in tough times.
A final nuance of the system is that many corporations maintain a
large pool of low-grade, mainly white-collar workers who are specifically denied
employment security under a legal loophole providing for "temporary" employment
. Although in practice such workers are rarely fired, the fact that they can be
affords corporate planners a further insurance policy against bad economic
conditions.
Such safety valves apart, Japan 's labor system aims to provide
stable long-term employment for virtually all higher-grade workers. It is backed
by tough laws requiring employers to pay significant compensation to any
permanent staff member who is involuntarily terminated. The strength of these
laws can be gauged from the fact that some staffers at Japan Airlines recently
were paid as much as $600,000 each to leave.
Perhaps the most ingenious aspect of Japanese labor economics is
the extent to which the main elements of it are mutually reinforcing. The
lifetime employment system, for instance, bolsters the company union system.
Because employees don't expect to be fired, they have no need for industrywide
unions and are content to entrust their negotiating power to company unions.
Similarly, the employment cartels' requirement that companies not
hire from each other is a hidden support for the lifetime employment system: it
protects employers against the loss of their most talented and productive
workers. By contrast, in the modern American employment system, where aggressive
employers are allowed to hire away their rivals' best people, any company that
offers career-long employment security finds its payroll gradually silts up with
subpar performers.
The most profound self-reinforcing effect of the Japanese labor
system is the way that lifetime employment helps stabilize the economy in times
of recession. To an individual employer, the no-firing rule may seem undesirable
but, from the nation's point of view, the rule pays off in damping the downswing
in the business cycle. In the Western system, by contrast, workers fired in a
recession necessarily cut back their consumption, which throws other workers out
of a job and thus further burdens the national welfare system. Japanese planners
believe, not unreasonably, that workers contribute more to national output if
they are in jobs rather than in dole queues.
When we add up all the fine print, a picture emerges of a highly
organized and quite self-sustaining employment system-a system that is the
antithesis of the cultural hangover it has long been portrayed as in the West.
Jobs for life may be on the way out elsewhere in the industrialized world. But
in Japan , at least, they are a central part of a labor system
with a bright
and stable future.