More than $770,000,000,000! 
That's Fingleton's latest forecast for America's total trade deficit in 2007. Click here to see how huge that number really is.
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About Eamonn Fingleton
Author of Unsustainable, In Praise of Hard Industries and Blindside
 
30 Years of Prescience
After more than thirty years reporting from London, New York, and Tokyo, Eamonn Fingleton has few rivals in the range and depth of his economic commentaries.
 
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Fingleton's Books
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One of the Ten Best Business Books
What Business Week said about Blindside
 
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• Unsustainable • In Praise of Hard Industries • Blindside

 
 
The Trader's Library
Eamonn Fingleton reviews important books on trade issues.

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About Eamonn Fingleton
Eamonn Fingleton is a Tokyo-based author and economic commentator whose latest book is Unsustainable: How Economic Dogma Is Destroying American Prosperity (Nation Books, 2003).

He is also the author of In Praise of Hard Industries: Why Manufacturing, Not the Information Economy, Is the Key to Future Prosperity. Published by Houghton Mifflin in 1999, this presented a damning critique of the New Economy - a critique whose prescience became widely apparent only after the Wall Street dot.com stock boom collapsed in 2000-2001.

The book was named one of the ten best business books of 1999 by Amazon.com Business Editor Harry C. Edwards. It was also named one of the Ten Books that Matter by The Industry Standard, the now defunct magazine for Internet professionals. It has been translated into Japanese and Korean.

His earlier book, Blindside: Why Japan Is Still on Track to Overtake the U.S. by the Year 2000, was named one of the Ten Best Business Books of 1995 by Business Week. Excerpted in both Foreign Affairs and Fortune, Blindside was published in French and Japanese as well as in several English-language editions.

A former editor for the Financial Times and Forbes, Fingleton worked successively nine years in London and five in New York before moving to Tokyo in 1985. He is thus one of the few English-language journalists who can claim an in-depth knowledge of all three of the world's major financial capitals. He has reported from most of East Asia's major economies and, as a member of a top-level American financial delegation to Beijing, met China's supreme leader Deng Xiaoping in the mid 1980s. His commentaries on Japanese economics and business have been published in The Atlantic Monthly, The New York Times, the Harvard Business Review, Challenge, The Washington Post, Time, GQ, Technology Review, and The New Republic. He has been a contributor to or an interviewee on many broadcast media, including CNBC, CNN, National Public Radio, the BBC, RTE, and Sky News. In September 1999, he was the featured interviewee on National Public Radio's Talk of the Nation program.

Known for a series of prescient forecasts issued in Euromoney magazine, he was almost alone among Tokyo-based commentators in the late 1980s in predicting the Tokyo financial crash (this was a time when most Tokyo-based analysts were superbulls on Japanese stocks). In the 1990s he was equally adamant in standing apart from the consensus when he consistently and correctly maintained that Japan would ride out the strains of both the rising yen and the Tokyo crash without having to abandon its distinctive economic institutions. In particular he predicted that Japanese manufacturing industries -- particularly those in the highly advanced if, to the consumer, nearly invisible, field of capital goods -- would continue to go from strength to strength. The vindication of his prediction is written all over the world's trade figures if not its business pages: as of 2004, Japan's current account surplus totaled $171 billion -- more than three times the figure recorded in 1989, the last year of the Tokyo stock market boom.

He has interviewed many of the world's most prominent news sources � not just quotable business figures like Rupert Murdoch, Lou Gerstner, Warren Buffett, Sanford Weill, Peter Lynch, and Donald Trump but fundamental economic thinkers such as Robert Solow, Paul Samuelson, James Tobin, Milton Friedman, Friedrich von Hayek, and C. Northcote Parkinson. His work has been read into the record of the U.S. Senate by Senator Ernest F. Hollings and has been commended by, among others, James Fallows, Pat Choate, John Kenneth Galbraith, Ralph Nader, Roger Milliken, President Bill Clinton, Chalmers Johnson, and Robert Heller.

He is currently working on a new book entitled In the Jaws of the Dragon: America's Fate In the Coming Era of Chinese Hegemony.

His writing on accounting matters at Forbes won him the American accounting profession's 1983 award for excellence in financial writing. He is listed in Marquis Who's Who in the World and has testified before the United States-China Economic and Security Review Commission. His authority as one of the West's foremost experts on the East Asian economic system has been acknowledged by the U.S. Business and Industry Council, which in 2001 presented him with its American values award for his work on Blindside and In Praise of Hard Industries.

Born in Ireland in 1948, he graduated from Trinity College Dublin in 1970 and spent most of the 1970s as a Fleet Street financial journalist, latterly as personal finance editor of the Financial Times. In 1979 he was selected by Sir James Goldsmith to join a "dream team" of top Fleet Street journalists who launched Now! magazine. He moved to New York as associate editor of Forbes magazine in 1981 and to Tokyo as East Asia bureau chief for Euromoney in 1985.

He welcomes e-mail messages and, even more so, snail-mail from readers of his writings and tries to offer the courtesy of a reply (or at least an acknowledgment) to all bona fide correspondents. His contact details are:

Aoyama NK Building 2F
Minami Aoyama 4-3-24
Minato-ku, Tokyo 107-0062
Telephone: 81 3 5770 5087
Fax: 81 3 5770 5088
E-Mail: [email protected]